Poll Average Details- WI Governor - 2010-11-02 20:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

PollMid DateTime WeightInternal Scott Walker Scott WalkerTom Barrett Tom BarrettJames Dean Langer James James Scattering Terry Virgil Leslie Ervin Smetak Patricia Messicci Hari Trivedi
YouGov10/30X 1.00000   53.5000 - 0.0288 bias 43.4000 - 1.4134 bias              
Marist Institute10/28X 0.96667   51.0000 - -0.4397 bias 44.0000 - 0.7635 bias              
Public Policy Polling10/28X 0.96667   53.0000 - -0.1800 bias 44.0000 - 1.1680 bias              
We the People/Wisconsin10/27X 0.95000   44.0000 - -2.6915 bias 36.0000 - 3.0721 bias 1.0000 - 0.7286 bias 1.0000 - 0.8367 bias          
Rasmussen Reports10/25X 0.91667   52.0000 - 1.5977 bias 42.0000 - 0.4180 bias              
St. Norbert College10/15X 0.75000   50.0000 - -0.9458 bias 41.0000 - 2.4085 bias              
Ipsos-Public Affairs10/11X 0.68333   52.0000 - -21.0260 bias 42.0000 - -19.3724 bias              
Fairbanks, Maslin, Maullin & Associates (D)10/7X 0.61667  X 1/2 47.0000 - -0.9285 bias 47.0000 - 2.0785 bias              
ccAdvertising (R)10/6X 0.60000   48.2300 - 4.4041 bias 38.8900 - -1.7906 bias              
Pulse Opinion Research9/25X 0.41667   49.0000 - 1.6194 bias 45.0000 - -0.2544 bias              
Opinion Research Corporation (CNN)9/21X 0.35000   53.0000 - 0.4312 bias 42.0000 - 0.8608 bias              
TOTAL 53.818272 44.102922 0.271400 0.163300 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000