Poll Average Details- MEX President - 2012-07-01 20:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

PollMid DateTime WeightInternal Enrique Peña Nieto Josefina Eugenia Vázquez Mota Santiago Creel MirandaAndrés Manuel López Obrador Gabriel Ricardo Quadri de la Torre Others Blank - Void
Consulta Mitofsky6/24X 1.00000   38.0000 - 4.4544 bias 21.0000 - -0.6534 bias 25.0000 - 2.3468 bias 2.0000 - -0.6748 bias    
Parametría6/23X 0.98333   35.5000 - 8.0094 bias 19.1000 - -4.7576 bias 23.3000 - 6.9719 bias 3.1000 - 0.4997 bias    
Reforma6/17X 0.88333   33.4000 - 0.6533 bias 19.0000 - -0.6004 bias 24.1000 - 2.0582 bias 3.5000 - 1.3459 bias    
El Universal6/14X 0.83333   37.0000 - 2.6563 bias 21.4000 - 0.1101 bias 23.5000 - 1.2310 bias 3.0000 - 0.4012 bias    
Milenio6/4X 0.66667   37.4000 - 5.9941 bias 20.5000 - -1.5091 bias 21.4000 - -0.8660 bias 3.0000 - 0.3814 bias    
Covarrubias y Asociados5/16X 0.35000   36.0000 - 8.6053 bias 24.0000 - -1.2365 bias 27.0000 - bias 4.0000 - 2.1100 bias    
Demotecnia5/13X 0.30000   35.0000 - 2.3541 bias 21.0000 - -0.5018 bias 25.0000 - -0.3028 bias 4.0000 - 2.4203 bias    
TOTAL 31.583363 21.951766 21.652178 2.428178 0.000000 0.000000