Poll Average Details- CAN House of Commons - Popular Vote - 2006-01-23 20:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

Poll	Mid Date	Time Weight	Internal	Conservative Party	Liberal Party	New Democratic Party	Bloc Québécois	Green Party	Independent	Communist Party	Christian Heritage Party	Progressive Canadian Party	Marxist-Leninist Party	Marijuana Party	Canadian Action Party	Libertarian Party	First Peoples National Party	Western Block	Animal Alliance Environment Voters
Strategic Counsel	1/22	X 1.00000		37.0000 - -1.9518 bias	27.0000 - -1.2447 bias	19.0000 - -1.0545 bias	11.0000 - 0.2748 bias	6.0000 - 2.9469 bias
Ipsos-Reid	1/22	X 1.00000		38.0000 - -20.4079 bias	27.0000 - -17.5077 bias	19.0000 - -9.7062 bias	12.0000 - -4.5818 bias	4.0000 - -1.7500 bias
SES Research	1/22	X 1.00000		36.0000 - -0.2502 bias	30.0000 - -9.7977 bias	17.0000 - 1.0235 bias	11.0000 - 0.5247 bias	6.0000 - 1.4415 bias
Ekos Research Associates	1/19	X 0.95000		37.4000 - 0.4387 bias	27.3000 - -3.0634 bias	20.8000 - 1.8079 bias	10.1000 - 0.0676 bias	3.9000 - 1.6785 bias	0.5000 - -0.0578 bias
Decima	1/15	X 0.88333		37.0000 - 3.5347 bias	27.0000 - -2.5245 bias	18.0000 - 1.0352 bias	11.0000 - 1.3526 bias
Leger Marketing	1/4	X 0.70000		34.0000 - -1.3959 bias	32.0000 - 1.7985 bias	16.0000 - 0.1085 bias	11.0000 - 4.7421 bias	5.0000 - 1.2886 bias
Angus Reid	12/22	X 0.48333		32.0000 - -3.1788 bias	33.0000 - 1.6021 bias	16.0000 - 2.3125 bias	13.0000 - 0.3465 bias	5.0000 - 1.2338 bias
TOTAL				42.537615	35.387132	20.552657	11.816599	4.180489	0.557800	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000