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"A comprehensive, collaborative elections resource."
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No Signs of GOP Convention Bounce Yet
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Race
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| Contributor | RP |
| Last Edited | RP Sep 03, 2012 01:16pm |
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| Category | Analysis |
| News Date | Monday, September 3, 2012 07:15:00 PM UTC0:0 |
| Description | We have been monitoring the potential impact of the Republican convention on the presidential race on a day-by-day basis. So far, we don’t see an impact. We report a seven-day rolling average of registered voters each day, each of which is based on more than 3,000 interviews. This reporting period is a very purposeful decision on our part -- even if a bit more “sluggish” than if we reported a three- or four-day average. The longer average dampens down short-term changes, and puts more of an emphasis on sustained changes.
We do have some new data that reinforce the tentative conclusion that the Republican convention did not change the race. The results, from data gathered Friday and Saturday and set to be released on gallup.com Monday morning, show that both the self-reported impact of the GOP convention and evaluations of Romney’s speech were at the very low end of the scale compared with the previous years in which we have asked the same questions about other conventions and nominees. |
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