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  Hold on to your hats! [Canada Election] Campaign 41 drawing to a heart-stopping conclusion
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ContributorMonsieur 
Last EditedMonsieur  May 01, 2011 06:04pm
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News DateMonday, May 2, 2011 12:00:00 AM UTC0:0
DescriptionIn what has been the most exciting federal election in many years, Campaign 41 is drawing to an exciting and as yet unclear conclusion. The Conservatives are at 34.6 points, while the NDP is three points back at 31.4 and the Liberals at 20.4. The Green Party is at 6.3 and the Bloc have dropped further to a modern low of 5.4 points nationally and a mere 22.8 points in Quebec. Of those who are “certain to vote”, things are tighter still with the Conservative lead reduced to a scant 2.4% (34.8 vs. 32.4, which is statistically insignificant). The Green Part is reduced to 5.6 points and all other parties remain unaffected.

Using these numbers, and we will reserve the final forecast until later this evening, we would see a Conservative minority where the NDP were within 20 seats and the NDP and the Liberals combined would have a narrow majority between them. This means that if there was common will between the NDP and the Liberals, they would have both the legal (and according to our recent polling on the topic) the moral authority to swiftly dispatch Stephen Harper’s Conservative Party.
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