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"A comprehensive, collaborative elections resource."
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The Odds on Obama
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Candidate
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| Contributor | Homegrown Democrat |
| Last Edited | Homegrown Democrat Apr 05, 2011 03:03pm |
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| Category | Blog Entry |
| Author | Mark Penn |
| Media | Website - Huffington Post |
| News Date | Monday, April 4, 2011 10:50:00 PM UTC0:0 |
| Description | Only two Democrats in the last 90 years have been reelected to a second term -- Franklin Roosevelt and Bill Clinton. The rest of the Democrats have seen their presidencies cut short, and so the historical odds of Obama winning a second term are at first glance not encouraging. But I do believe President Obama can overcome those odds and win reelection if he takes the right road. Standing in his way are high unemployment numbers that are coming down, trillion dollar deficits, low approval ratings, and a public that still sees the country squarely on the wrong track.
The announcement of his candidacy for president on Monday suggests he is going to take a very different approach to reelection than the one we took in 1996. Perhaps the first principle we had was that Bill Clinton was a president first, a candidate second, if at all. In fact, we never really had an announcement at all because the very idea of the campaign was to have none -- to keep the president out of politics and above the fray.
President Obama actually appears at his best when he is campaigning. It's almost as though he sees the presidency as coming with a restraining bolt that holds him back rather than serving as a pedestal that puts him above the rest. He wants to again be the wily challenger, and I think he and his team seem to relish the campaign trail that has been so successful for them |
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