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Daily Kos: We Were 'Defrauded' by Research 2000
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| Parent(s) |
PollingFirm
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| Contributor | Scott³ |
| Last Edited | Scott³ Jun 30, 2010 03:20pm |
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| Category | Analysis |
| Author | Mark Blumenthal |
| News Date | Tuesday, June 29, 2010 09:00:00 PM UTC0:0 |
| Description | "Daily Kos founder Markos Moulitsas today rocked the polling world by posting an analysis that he says shows "quite convincingly" that the national surveys conducted for his website by Research 2000 since early 2009 were "largely bunk." Just three weeks ago, Moulitsas fired Research 2000 on the basis of low accuracy scores tabulated by Nate Silver. Today, on the basis of the work of "statistics wizards" Mark Grebner, Michael Weissman, and Jonathan Weissman, Moulitsas announced that Daily Kos "will be filing suit" against its former pollster "within the next day or two."
We contracted with Research 2000 to conduct polling and to provide us with the results of their surveys. Based on the report of the statisticians, it's clear that we did not get what we paid for. We were defrauded by Research 2000, and while we don't know if some or all of the data was fabricated or manipulated beyond recognition, we know we can't trust it. Meanwhile, Research 2000 has refused to offer any explanation. Early in this process, I asked for and they offered to provide us with their raw data for independent analysis -- which could potentially exculpate them. That was two weeks ago, and despite repeated promises to provide us that data, Research 2000 ultimately refused to do so. At one point, they claimed they couldn't deliver them because their computers were down and they had to work out of a Kinkos office. Research 2000 was delivered a copy of the report early Monday morning, and though they quickly responded and promised a full response, once again the authors of the report heard nothing more.
While the investigation didn't look at all of Research 2000 polling conducted for us, fact is I no longer have any confidence in any of it, and neither should anyone else. I ask that all poll tracking sites remove any Research 2000 polls commissioned by us from their databases. I hereby renounce any post we've written based exclusively on Research 2000 polling." |
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