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AR Sen moved to Lean Takeover
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Race
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Contributor | Eddie |
Last Edited | Eddie Jan 21, 2010 04:30pm |
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Category | Blog Entry |
Author | The Rothenberg Political Report |
News Date | Thursday, January 21, 2010 06:05:00 PM UTC0:0 |
Description | Multiple independent polls now show Arkansas Sen. Blanche Lincoln (D) losing or running even in ballot tests against any number of lower-tier GOP challengers. Just as important, those same surveys show more voters having an unfavorable opinion of her than a favorable one.
Given the bent of Independent voters (in the recent Massachusetts special election but also in national surveys), we are increasingly doubtful that the Arkansas Democratic Senator can win another term. Of course, much depends on the eventual GOP challenger and how the economy behaves over the next nine months. Still, the burden of proof has shifted in our minds, from requiring Republicans to prove that they can defeat Lincoln to requiring Lincoln to show she can win reelection. Move to Lean Takeover.
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